Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EC Guarani vs Apafut

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 3
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Sausen Xavier M.
54' Event
Sampson
77' Event
Wandeur V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
EC Guarani
35%
Draws
32%
Apafut
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC Guarani lately — more wins on the board than Apafut.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Apafut taking it.
  • EC Guarani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor EC Guarani, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors EC Guarani here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 20%
Apafut Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Guarani Apafut
Matches Played 27 23
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.74 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Gaucho 3
EC Guarani vs Apafut
3:1
Dec 4, 2025 Gaucho 3
Apafut vs EC Guarani
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Gaucho 3
EC Guarani vs Apafut
4:2
Oct 5, 2025 Gaucho 3
Apafut vs EC Guarani
1:2
Oct 16, 2024 Gaucho 3
Apafut vs EC Guarani
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Sausen Xavier M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sampson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Apafut Compare

Top Goalscorer Parisotto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Guarani 28 / 100
Apafut 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Guarani Apafut

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apafut Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Guarani found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Apafut conceded in 65% of 23 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

EC Guarani went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Guarani VS Apafut
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Guarani

(Home)
12 Aug
GE Gloria
1 : 2
EC Guarani
09 Aug
EC Guarani
0 : 0
Veranopolis
06 Aug
EC Guarani
0 : 2
Brasil de Pelotas
01 Aug
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
0 : 0
EC Guarani
07 Dec
EC Guarani
3 : 1
Apafut
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Apafut

(Away)
15 Aug
GE Gloria
1 : 1
Apafut
12 Aug
GE Bage
0 : 3
Apafut
09 Aug
Apafut
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
05 Aug
Apafut
1 : 1
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
02 Aug
Passo Fundo
1 : 0
Apafut
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
EC Guarani 6
SC Rio Grande 0
SC Sao Paulo 1
Apafut 2
Final
EC Guarani 3
Apafut 1