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EC Guarani vs Apafut - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Antoniel
86' Event
Pinto M.

AI Match Summary

Apafut in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apafut.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
EC Guarani
35%
Draws
38%
Apafut
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Apafut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC Guarani lately — more wins on the board than Apafut.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 16%
Apafut Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Guarani Apafut
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Apafut
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Gaucho 3
EC Guarani vs Apafut
3:1
Dec 4, 2025 Gaucho 3
Apafut vs EC Guarani
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Gaucho 3
EC Guarani vs Apafut
4:2
Oct 5, 2025 Gaucho 3
Apafut vs EC Guarani
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Guarani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Apafut Compare

Top Goalscorer Antoniel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinto M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Guarani 31 / 100
Apafut 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Guarani Apafut

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Apafut Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Guarani's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Apafut let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

EC Guarani has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

EC Guarani VS Apafut
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Guarani

(Home)
27 Sept
EC Guarani
3 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
EC Guarani
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Aimore
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
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Apafut

(Away)
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Lajeadense
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Apafut
19 Sept
Apafut
1 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)