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EC Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
EC Guarani Logo

EC Guarani

0 - 2
FT
Brasil de Pelotas Logo

Brasil de Pelotas

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lula
68' Event
Guilherme Garre
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between EC Guarani and Brasil de Pelotas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brasil de Pelotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
EC Guarani
30%
Draws
39%
Brasil de Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EC Guarani come out ahead of Brasil de Pelotas on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 17%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Guarani Brasil de Pelotas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 8 14
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:2
Apr 22, 2012 Gaucho 2
Brasil de Pelotas vs EC Guarani
1:2
Mar 18, 2012 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas
3:0
Mar 14, 2007 Gaucho
EC Guarani vs Brasil de Pelotas
3:3
Jan 31, 2007 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs EC Guarani
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Guarani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Brasil de Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Lula
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Garre
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Guarani 31 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Guarani Brasil de Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasil de Pelotas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Guarani scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

EC Guarani has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Brasil de Pelotas conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

EC Guarani VS Brasil de Pelotas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Guarani

(Home)
27 Sept
EC Guarani
3 : 1
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
EC Guarani
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Aimore
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6

Brasil de Pelotas

(Away)
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
GE Gloria
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)