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EC Guarani vs Farroupilha

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Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 game between EC Guarani and Farroupilha finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Guarani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
EC Guarani
30%
Draws
23%
Farroupilha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Farroupilha haven't matched EC Guarani's recent run of results.
  • EC Guarani are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 20%
Farroupilha Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Guarani Farroupilha
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.93 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2019 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Farroupilha
3:0
Mar 6, 2019 Gaucho 2
Farroupilha vs EC Guarani
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Guarani 67 / 100
Farroupilha 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Guarani Farroupilha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Guarani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Guarani's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Farroupilha has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: EC Guarani stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Guarani VS Farroupilha
0.88 Goals Scored 0.67
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Guarani

(Home)
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Aimore
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
09 Sept
EC Guarani
0 : 2
Apafut
05 Sept
Gramadense
2 : 2
EC Guarani
01 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 0
Lajeadense
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Farroupilha

(Away)
12 Sept
Farroupilha
0 : 2
Futvida
06 Sept
Clube 1992
1 : 2
Farroupilha
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
10 Jun
Brasil de Pelotas
4 : 0
Farroupilha
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Sao Paulo 14 7 4 3 13:10 25
2 EC Guarani 14 6 4 4 18:13 22
3 GE Bage 14 6 4 4 19:17 22
4 Lajeadense 14 4 8 2 12:10 20
5 Sao Gabriel 14 4 6 4 11:12 18
6 Inter Santa Maria 14 5 3 6 14:16 18
7 EC Cruzeiro 14 4 5 5 11:9 17
8 Farroupilha 14 1 4 9 10:21 7
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 7 4 3 17:11 25
2 GE Gloria 14 6 5 3 21:14 23
3 Igrejinha 14 5 6 3 14:12 21
4 Ypiranga FC 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
5 Passo Fundo 14 5 4 5 15:14 19
6 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 4 3 7 14:16 15
7 Tupi RS 14 4 2 8 13:19 14
8 AE Sao Borja 14 3 5 6 14:23 14
Promotion - Campeonato Gaucho 2 2019 (Play Offs)