Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Juliano
9'
9'
Roig H. M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Gaucho 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: EC Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Santa Cruz RS haven't matched EC Guarani's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Santa Cruz RS have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 17%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | EC Guarani | Santa Cruz RS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Santa Cruz RS
1:1
Jun 24, 2023 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs EC Guarani
4:0
May 9, 2023 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Santa Cruz RS
0:1
Jun 12, 2022 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs EC Guarani
4:0
Apr 9, 2022 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Santa Cruz RS
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
EC Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Roig H. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Santa Cruz RS Compare
Top Goalscorer Juliano
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
EC Guarani 31 / 100
Santa Cruz RS 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
EC Guarani Santa Cruz RS
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
EC Guarani scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Santa Cruz RS let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: EC Guarani stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
EC Guarani VS Santa Cruz RS
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
EC Guarani
(Home) 27 Sept
EC Guarani
3 : 1 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1 EC Guarani
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1 Aimore
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3 EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
EC Guarani
3 : 1 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1 Aimore
09 Sept
EC Guarani
0 : 2 Apafut
01 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 0 Lajeadense
Page 1 of 3
Santa Cruz RS
(Away) 03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0 Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2 Apafut
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0 Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Apafut
1 : 0 Santa Cruz RS
27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0 Santa Cruz RS
06 Sept
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
0 : 0 Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Passo Fundo | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 2 | Veranopolis | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 12:6 | 26 |
| 3 | Esportivo Bento Goncalves | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz RS | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 15:10 | 25 |
| 5 | Apafut | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 6 | Brasil de Pelotas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 24 |
| 7 | Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 8 | Brasil de Farroupilha | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 15:9 | 24 |
| 9 | Aimore | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:14 | 21 |
| 10 | EC Guarani | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:21 | 18 |
| 11 | Pelotas | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 12 | GE Bage | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13:19 | 15 |
| 13 | SC Gaucho | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 14 | GE Gloria | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Gramadense | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Lajeadense | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6:23 | 5 |
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)
