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EC Guarani vs SC Gaucho

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gabriel Nereia
83' Event
Adriano Klein
85' Event
Borges F.

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between EC Guarani and SC Gaucho finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Gaucho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
EC Guarani
30%
Draws
31%
SC Gaucho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • EC Guarani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
SC Gaucho Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Guarani SC Gaucho
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs SC Gaucho
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Nereia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SC Gaucho Compare

Top Goalscorer Borges F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adriano Klein
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Guarani 41 / 100
SC Gaucho 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Guarani SC Gaucho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Guarani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: EC Guarani scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: SC Gaucho conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: EC Guarani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

EC Guarani VS SC Gaucho
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Guarani

(Home)
23 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 1
EC Guarani
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Aimore
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
09 Sept
EC Guarani
0 : 2
Apafut
Page 1 of 6

SC Gaucho

(Away)
23 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
2 : 1
SC Gaucho
19 Sept
SC Gaucho
1 : 3
Passo Fundo
16 Sept
Lajeadense
1 : 0
SC Gaucho
13 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 0
Veranopolis
10 Sept
SC Gaucho
2 : 1
GE Gloria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 14 8 5 1 21:9 29
2 Veranopolis 14 7 4 3 12:6 25
3 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 6 6 2 16:9 24
4 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 6 6 2 17:11 24
5 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 5 8 1 15:9 23
6 Santa Cruz RS 14 5 7 2 14:10 22
7 Brasil de Pelotas 13 5 6 2 14:8 21
8 Apafut 14 5 6 3 18:13 21
9 Aimore 14 5 5 4 13:13 20
10 Pelotas 13 3 6 4 13:16 15
11 EC Guarani 14 3 6 5 15:20 15
12 SC Gaucho 14 3 3 8 11:15 12
13 GE Bage 14 2 6 6 9:18 12
14 GE Gloria 14 2 5 7 11:17 11
15 Gramadense 14 1 7 6 9:18 10
16 Lajeadense 14 1 2 11 5:21 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)