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EC Itauna vs Pocos de Caldas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
EC Itauna
20%
Draws
40%
Pocos de Caldas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pocos de Caldas have won more games recently than EC Itauna.
  • EC Itauna are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
EC Itauna Clean Sheet 20%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Itauna Pocos de Caldas
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.3 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2011 Mineiro 2
Pocos de Caldas vs EC Itauna
3:0
Feb 26, 2011 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Pocos de Caldas
1:0
Mar 29, 2009 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Pocos de Caldas
2:2
Mar 11, 2009 Mineiro 2
Pocos de Caldas vs EC Itauna
3:3
Apr 9, 2008 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Pocos de Caldas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Itauna 36 / 100
Pocos de Caldas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Itauna Pocos de Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: EC Itauna scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Pocos de Caldas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Away concern: Pocos de Caldas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pocos de Caldas
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Itauna

(Home)
20 Mar
EC Itauna
2 : 2
Tombense
16 Mar
Nacional MG
7 : 3
EC Itauna
13 Mar
Formiga EC
3 : 1
EC Itauna
11 Mar
EC Itauna
3 : 1
Tricordiano
05 Mar
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
EC Itauna
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Pocos de Caldas

(Away)
19 Oct
Tupynambas
3 : 2
Pocos de Caldas
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America Mineiro 20 12 5 3 33:14 41
2 Uberlandia 20 10 6 4 25:12 36
3 Caldense 20 11 2 7 29:20 35
4 EC Itauna 20 8 7 5 21:15 31
5 Araxa 20 6 9 5 21:21 27
6 Pocos de Caldas 20 4 11 5 22:24 23
7 URT 20 4 11 5 28:29 23
8 Ideal FC 20 6 4 10 21:29 22
9 Formiga EC 20 6 4 10 17:26 22
10 Valeriodoce 20 4 8 8 18:21 20
11 Uniao Luziense 20 4 3 13 21:45 15
Promotion - Campeonato Mineiro 2009 (Main)