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EC Juventude vs Tombense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
EC Juventude Logo

EC Juventude

2 - 1
FT
Tombense Logo

Tombense

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Luiz Felipe
45' Event
Ray Breno
(Penalty)
45'
Junior C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
EC Juventude
35%
Draws
28%
Tombense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • EC Juventude carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • EC Juventude have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor EC Juventude, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 20%
Tombense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Juventude Tombense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
EC Juventude vs Tombense
2:1
Oct 7, 2023 Serie B
Tombense vs EC Juventude
1:1
Jun 11, 2023 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Tombense
1:2
Aug 8, 2019 Serie C
EC Juventude vs Tombense
2:0
Jun 8, 2019 Serie C
Tombense vs EC Juventude
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Tombense Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Felipe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Juventude 32 / 100
Tombense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Juventude Tombense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Juventude scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Tombense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

EC Juventude went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Juventude VS Tombense
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Juventude

(Home)
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
05 Sept
EC Juventude
2 : 2
Atletico GO
01 Sept
Londrina
0 : 0
EC Juventude
25 Aug
EC Juventude
2 : 1
CRB
Page 1 of 7

Tombense

(Away)
27 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
CRAC
21 Jun
CRAC
1 : 0
Tombense
14 Jun
Tombense
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
30 May
Porto-BA
1 : 3
Tombense
23 May
Tombense
1 : 1
Real Noroeste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)