Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EC Sao Bernardo vs Audax-SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Sao Bernardo in this Paulista A3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Sao Bernardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
EC Sao Bernardo
15%
Draws
34%
Audax-SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Sao Bernardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC Sao Bernardo lately — more wins on the board than Audax-SP.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and EC Sao Bernardo have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
EC Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 20%
Audax-SP Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Bernardo Audax-SP
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2023 Paulista A3
EC Sao Bernardo vs Audax-SP
2:1
May 7, 2021 Paulista A2
Audax-SP vs EC Sao Bernardo
0:1
Mar 24, 2019 Paulista A3
EC Sao Bernardo vs Audax-SP
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Bernardo 31 / 100
Audax-SP 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Bernardo Audax-SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Sao Bernardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Sao Bernardo found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Audax-SP conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Audax-SP has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Bernardo VS Audax-SP
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Sao Bernardo

(Home)
05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1
Comercial
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3
Sao Jose EC
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

Audax-SP

(Away)
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
28 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 0
Flamengo SP
20 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
14 Jun
Paulinense
1 : 0
Audax-SP
07 Jun
Audax-SP
2 : 0
Votoraty SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 15 9 2 4 25:15 29
2 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 13:12 27
3 Capivariano 15 7 6 2 28:11 27
4 Gremio Prudente 15 7 3 5 21:16 24
5 Desportivo 15 7 3 5 14:9 24
6 EC Sao Bernardo 15 7 1 7 17:16 22
7 Uniao Suzano 15 6 3 6 21:18 21
8 Matonense 15 6 2 7 21:18 20
9 Bandeirante 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Red Bull Brasil 15 5 4 6 24:23 19
11 Rio Preto EC 15 5 4 6 15:21 19
12 Itapirense 15 4 7 4 11:17 19
13 Votuporanguense 15 4 5 6 14:19 17
14 Sertaozinho 15 5 1 9 15:26 16
15 Barretos EC 15 4 4 7 18:29 16
16 Audax-SP 15 3 3 9 8:19 12
Promotion - Paulista A3 2023 (Second stage)