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Stadium Background

EC Sao Bernardo vs Catanduva FC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Ruan

AI Match Summary

EC Sao Bernardo in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Sao Bernardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
EC Sao Bernardo
39%
Draws
31%
Catanduva FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Catanduva FC have won more games recently than EC Sao Bernardo.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and EC Sao Bernardo have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
EC Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%
Catanduva FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Bernardo Catanduva FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Paulista A3
EC Sao Bernardo vs Catanduva FC
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 Paulista A3
Catanduva FC vs EC Sao Bernardo
1:0
Feb 11, 2024 Paulista A3
EC Sao Bernardo vs Catanduva FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Bernardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Catanduva FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Bernardo 41 / 100
Catanduva FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Bernardo Catanduva FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Sao Bernardo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Catanduva FC let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

EC Sao Bernardo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Bernardo VS Catanduva FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285