Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2017 game between EC Sao Bernardo and Elosport finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Sao Bernardo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EC Sao Bernardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- EC Sao Bernardo carry the better recent record into this one.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on EC Sao Bernardo taking it.
- Regular Paulista A4 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
EC Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 20%
Elosport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | EC Sao Bernardo | Elosport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 10, 2017 Paulista A4
EC Sao Bernardo vs Elosport
3:0
Apr 23, 2017 Paulista A4
Elosport vs EC Sao Bernardo
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
EC Sao Bernardo 85 / 100
Elosport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
EC Sao Bernardo Elosport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EC Sao Bernardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: EC Sao Bernardo scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Elosport let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Elosport lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
EC Sao Bernardo VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
EC Sao Bernardo
(Home) 05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1 Comercial
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0 EC Sao Bernardo
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3 Sao Jose EC
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1 Comercial
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3 Sao Jose EC
09 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Sao Caetano
19 Jul
EC Sao Bernardo
3 : 1 Santo Andre
28 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Marilia
Page 1 of 3
Elosport
(Away) 14 Nov
Elosport
0 : 2 Independente SP
11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2 Elosport
08 Nov
Elosport
1 : 2 Uniao Barbarense
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2 Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2 Elosport
Page 1 of 6
11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2 Elosport
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2 Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2 Elosport
21 Oct
Uniao Barbarense
0 : 1 Elosport
30 Jun
AA Itarare
5 : 0 Elosport
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vocem | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 16:4 | 29 |
| 2 | Osvaldo Cruz | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 19 |
| 4 | America SP | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Gremio Prudente | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:12 | 16 |
| 6 | Presidente Prudente | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:19 | 10 |
| 7 | Assisense | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7:34 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XV de Jau | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 29:14 | 25 |
| 2 | Brasilis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:12 | 19 |
| 3 | Francana | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Taquaritinga | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 5 | Inter de Bebedouro | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:15 | 15 |
| 6 | Amparo SP | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 7 | Jaguariuna | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:28 | 9 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Primavera EC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 20:6 | 30 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26:13 | 29 |
| 3 | SKA Brasil | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22:17 | 24 |
| 4 | AA Itarare | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Elosport | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 21:16 | 17 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:25 | 16 |
| 7 | Diadema | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12:38 | 8 |
| 8 | Barcelona SP | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15:35 | 8 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Manthiqueira | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24:16 | 25 |
| 3 | Mauaense | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 4 | Uniao Mogi | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 5 | Atletico Real Cubatense | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:20 | 12 |
| 6 | Jabaquara | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 7 | Atletico Mogi | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6:30 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2017 (Second stage)
