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EC Sao Geraldo W vs MDE W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Capixaba Women 2025
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AI Match Summary

MDE W in this Capixaba Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored MDE W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
EC Sao Geraldo W
15%
Draws
59%
MDE W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MDE W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Sao Geraldo W haven't matched MDE W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans MDE W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 99%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 99%
Over 3.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 41%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
EC Sao Geraldo W Clean Sheet 10%
MDE W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Geraldo W MDE W
Matches Played 7 15
Wins 1 7
Draws 0 2
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.43 2.47
Goals Conceded 4.71 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2025 Capixaba Women
EC Sao Geraldo W vs MDE W
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Geraldo W 10 / 100
MDE W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Geraldo W MDE W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MDE W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MDE W let in goals in 87% of their last 15 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: EC Sao Geraldo W scored in 57% of their last 7 outings.

Solid form: EC Sao Geraldo W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Geraldo W VS MDE W
1.67 Goals Scored 3.13
5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
83% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Sao Geraldo W

(Home)
10 Aug
EC Sao Geraldo W
0 : 3
Vila Nova ES W
03 Aug
Atletico Capixaba W
2 : 4
EC Sao Geraldo W
27 Jul
EC Sao Geraldo W
2 : 3
Harpia W
19 Jul
Prosperidade W
11 : 0
EC Sao Geraldo W
13 Jul
EC Sao Geraldo W
1 : 6
MDE W
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MDE W

(Away)
27 Sept
MDE W
1 : 3
Estadual W
20 Sept
Vilavelhense W
1 : 4
MDE W
06 Sept
MDE W
3 : 3
America ES W
29 Aug
Prosperidade W
10 : 0
MDE W
23 Aug
MDE W
3 : 0
Harpia W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estadual W 7 7 0 0 30:5 21
2 Prosperidade W 7 6 0 1 42:6 18
3 MDE W 7 5 0 2 23:18 15
4 Serra W 7 4 0 3 9:19 12
5 Harpia W 7 3 0 4 11:17 9
6 Vila Nova ES W 7 1 1 5 11:16 4
7 EC Sao Geraldo W 7 1 0 6 10:33 3
8 Atletico Capixaba W 7 0 1 6 7:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba Women 2025 (Play Offs)