Sport Picks

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EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Monsoon

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Francisco Novelletto Neto, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Danilo Guimaraes In: William
Out: Danilo Guimaraes
46'
Sub
Resende Marcolino K. In: Gustavo Wallison
Out: Resende Marcolino K.
47' Event
Jean Carlo

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho game between EC Sao Jose (PA) and Monsoon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monsoon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
EC Sao Jose (PA)
35%
Draws
37%
Monsoon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monsoon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EC Sao Jose (PA) come out ahead of Monsoon on wins alone.
  • Model gives EC Sao Jose (PA) a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
EC Sao Jose (PA) Clean Sheet 68%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Sao Jose (PA) Monsoon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 13 13
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Gaucho
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Monsoon
1:2
Feb 13, 2025 Gaucho
EC Sao Jose (PA) vs Monsoon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Sao Jose (PA) Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrey Nunes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Monsoon Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean Carlo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Garcia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.33

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Sao Jose (PA) 51 / 100
Monsoon 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Sao Jose (PA) Monsoon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monsoon let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: EC Sao Jose (PA) scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: EC Sao Jose (PA) stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Sao Jose (PA) VS Monsoon
0.88 Goals Scored 0.83
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
38% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Sao Jose (PA)

(Home)
02 Sept
Goiatuba EC
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
26 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Treze PB
1 : 1
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 6

Monsoon

(Away)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 EC Juventude 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
3 EC Sao Jose (PA) 6 2 3 1 4:3 9
4 Sao Luiz 6 1 4 1 6:10 7
5 Avenida 6 1 2 3 4:9 5
6 Guarany de Bage 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
2 SER Caxias do Sul 6 2 1 3 8:5 7
3 Ypiranga FC 6 1 4 1 7:9 7
4 Novo Hamburgo 6 1 3 2 5:5 6
5 Monsoon 6 1 3 2 5:11 6
6 Inter Santa Maria 6 1 2 3 1:4 5
Promotion - Gaucho (Play Offs)