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EC Vera Cruz vs Barcelona EC

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Feliciano G.
37' Event
Lucca
77'
Giovanne

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C 2025 game between EC Vera Cruz and Barcelona EC finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Vera Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
EC Vera Cruz
15%
Draws
51%
Barcelona EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcelona EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • EC Vera Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on EC Vera Cruz taking it.
  • Regular Carioca C 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
EC Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 14%
Barcelona EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Vera Cruz Barcelona EC
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.2 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 Carioca C
EC Vera Cruz vs Barcelona EC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Vera Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Feliciano G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lucca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Barcelona EC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Vera Cruz 41 / 100
Barcelona EC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Vera Cruz Barcelona EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: EC Vera Cruz scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Barcelona EC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Solid form: EC Vera Cruz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

EC Vera Cruz VS Barcelona EC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Vera Cruz

(Home)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
03 Jul
Uni Souza
5 : 1
EC Vera Cruz
28 Jun
EC Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Caac Brazil
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
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Barcelona EC

(Away)
12 Jul
Itaborai Profute
:
Barcelona EC
06 Jul
Barcelona EC
:
Itaborai Profute
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
Barcelona EC
0 : 7
Buzios
08 Jun
Uni Souza
2 : 0
Barcelona EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)