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EC Vera Cruz vs Paraty

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Dias Reis M. P.
88'
Daniel
90'
Teixeira G.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C 2025 game between EC Vera Cruz and Paraty finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
EC Vera Cruz
22%
Draws
60%
Paraty
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Paraty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Paraty haven't matched EC Vera Cruz's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Paraty's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Carioca C 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
EC Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%
Paraty Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Vera Cruz Paraty
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 Carioca C
EC Vera Cruz vs Paraty
0:1
Jun 24, 2024 Carioca C
Paraty vs EC Vera Cruz
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Vera Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Paraty Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias Reis M. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Vera Cruz 18 / 100
Paraty 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Vera Cruz Paraty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Vera Cruz's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Paraty's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: EC Vera Cruz stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Vera Cruz VS Paraty
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Vera Cruz

(Home)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
03 Jul
Uni Souza
5 : 1
EC Vera Cruz
28 Jun
EC Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Caac Brazil
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
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Paraty

(Away)
09 Nov
Goytacaz
3 : 2
Paraty
06 Nov
Paraty
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
26 Oct
Barra Mansa
1 : 2
Paraty
20 Oct
Paraty
1 : 1
7 de Abril
12 Oct
Serra Macaense
2 : 2
Paraty
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paraty1291233:1128
2Santa Cruz RJ1283139:1427
3Riostrense1282229:1126
4Uniao Central1273234:1824
5Juventus RJ1273224:924
6EC Vera Cruz1262418:1120
7Angra dos Reis1261524:2119
8Rio Barra1140712:2412
9Buzios1240816:3312
10Duque Caxiense1231815:1910
11Caac Brazil1230910:359
12Mesquita122198:287
13Barcelona EC111195:334
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)