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EC Ypiranga vs Catuense

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Ypiranga play Catuense in the Baiano 2 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, EC Ypiranga averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Catuense averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, EC Ypiranga won 1, Catuense won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 11, 2016 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for EC Ypiranga and 1.00 for Catuense. This points to a EC Ypiranga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
EC Ypiranga
30%
Draws
34%
Catuense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Ypiranga picked up more points recently compared to Catuense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 23%
Catuense Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Ypiranga Catuense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2016 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Catuense
4:1
Jul 10, 2016 Baiano 2
Catuense vs EC Ypiranga
0:0
Jun 16, 2013 Baiano 2
Catuense vs EC Ypiranga
1:0
May 11, 2013 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Catuense
0:0
May 12, 2010 Baiano 2
Catuense vs EC Ypiranga
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Ypiranga 37 / 100
Catuense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Ypiranga Catuense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: EC Ypiranga or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EC Ypiranga attacking → ← attacking Catuense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Ypiranga scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Catuense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

EC Ypiranga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Catuense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 27
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Galicia841310:913
2Catuense84139:813
3Camacari841310:1213
4EC Ypiranga832313:711
5Ipitanga82157:137
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Itabuna850311:515
2CE Flamengo842213:914
3Colo Colo841311:813
4Jequie82339:139
5AD Astro81255:145