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EC Ypiranga vs Catuense

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2013 game between EC Ypiranga and Catuense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
EC Ypiranga
15%
Draws
26%
Catuense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EC Ypiranga come out ahead of Catuense on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on EC Ypiranga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 20%
Catuense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Ypiranga Catuense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2016 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Catuense
4:1
Jul 10, 2016 Baiano 2
Catuense vs EC Ypiranga
0:0
Jun 16, 2013 Baiano 2
Catuense vs EC Ypiranga
1:0
May 11, 2013 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Catuense
0:0
May 12, 2010 Baiano 2
Catuense vs EC Ypiranga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Ypiranga 85 / 100
Catuense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Ypiranga Catuense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Ypiranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catuense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: EC Ypiranga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Catuense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Ypiranga VS Catuense
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 4
13% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Ypiranga

(Home)
29 Jun
Bahia de Feira
2 : 0
EC Ypiranga
21 Jun
EC Ypiranga
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
14 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 1
EC Ypiranga
08 Jun
EC Ypiranga
2 : 1
Leonico
01 Jun
Itabuna
2 : 2
EC Ypiranga
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Catuense

(Away)
11 Sept
EC Ypiranga
4 : 1
Catuense
07 Sept
Catuense
5 : 3
Juazeiro
03 Sept
Alagoinhas
1 : 0
Catuense
27 Aug
Atlantico EC
5 : 1
Catuense
20 Aug
Teixeira de Freitas
1 : 0
Catuense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galicia 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
2 Catuense 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
3 Camacari 8 4 1 3 10:12 13
4 EC Ypiranga 8 3 2 3 13:7 11
5 Ipitanga 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
Promotion - Baiano 2 2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabuna 8 5 0 3 11:5 15
2 CE Flamengo 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
3 Colo Colo 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
4 Jequie 8 2 3 3 9:13 9
5 AD Astro 8 1 2 5 5:14 5
Promotion - Baiano 2 2013 (Play Offs)