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EC Ypiranga vs Galicia

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Baiano 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2012 game between EC Ypiranga and Galicia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Ypiranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
EC Ypiranga
15%
Draws
39%
Galicia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Galicia come out ahead of EC Ypiranga on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans EC Ypiranga's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 15%
Galicia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Ypiranga Galicia
Matches Played 40 43
Wins 15 17
Draws 8 13
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Galicia
1:1
Jun 29, 2013 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Galicia
1:2
May 18, 2013 Baiano 2
Galicia vs EC Ypiranga
0:3
Jun 16, 2012 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Galicia
3:1
May 19, 2012 Baiano 2
Galicia vs EC Ypiranga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Ypiranga 66 / 100
Galicia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Ypiranga Galicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Ypiranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Ypiranga found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (40 games).

Galicia has conceded goals in 60% of their last 43 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

EC Ypiranga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Ypiranga VS Galicia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Ypiranga

(Home)
29 Jun
Bahia de Feira
2 : 0
EC Ypiranga
21 Jun
EC Ypiranga
3 : 0
Teixeira de Freitas
14 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 1
EC Ypiranga
08 Jun
EC Ypiranga
2 : 1
Leonico
01 Jun
Itabuna
2 : 2
EC Ypiranga
Page 1 of 8

Galicia

(Away)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Ypiranga 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
2 Botafogo BA 8 4 3 1 15:7 15
3 Galicia 8 3 4 1 15:9 13
4 Ipitanga 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
5 Cruzeiro Cruz das Almas 8 0 3 5 4:16 3
Promotion - Baiano 2 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 8 6 2 0 11:4 20
2 Jacuipense 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
3 AD Astro 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
4 Jequie 8 2 2 4 7:14 8
5 Guanambi AC 8 0 0 8 0:8 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2012 (Play Offs)