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EC Ypiranga vs Ipitanga

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Ypiranga play Ipitanga in the Baiano 2 2012. EC Ypiranga are favorites here. Recently, EC Ypiranga averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Ipitanga averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. In past meetings, EC Ypiranga won 3, Ipitanga won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 13, 2014 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for EC Ypiranga and 1.00 for Ipitanga. This points to a EC Ypiranga double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
EC Ypiranga
17%
Draws
17%
Ipitanga
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: EC Ypiranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • EC Ypiranga picked up more points recently compared to Ipitanga.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
EC Ypiranga Clean Sheet 23%
Ipitanga Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Ypiranga Ipitanga
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 17 24
Goals Scored 1.42 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2014 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Ipitanga
6:0
May 25, 2013 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs EC Ypiranga
3:1
Apr 27, 2013 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Ipitanga
0:0
Jun 2, 2012 Baiano 2
EC Ypiranga vs Ipitanga
3:2
May 1, 2012 Baiano 2
Ipitanga vs EC Ypiranga
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Ypiranga 64 / 100
Ipitanga 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Ypiranga Ipitanga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Ypiranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick EC Ypiranga & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EC Ypiranga attacking → ← attacking Ipitanga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Ypiranga scored in 61% of their last 38 games.

Ipitanga let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

EC Ypiranga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ipitanga lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 12
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1EC Ypiranga861119:719
2Botafogo BA843115:715
3Galicia834115:913
4Ipitanga811610:244
5Cruzeiro Cruz das Almas80354:163
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo862011:420
2Jacuipense843110:515
3AD Astro83327:412
4Jequie82247:148
5Guanambi AC80080:80