Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17

South America South America

South American Championship U17 Estadio Carfem, Ypané
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Eduardo Pape
Assist: Leonardo Cerci
46'
Sub
Arthur Monteiro In: Richard Wendel
Out: Arthur Monteiro
51'
Sub
Eduardo Conceicao In: Robert William
Out: Eduardo Conceicao

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ecuador U17
15%
Draws
58%
Brazil U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Brazil U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Brazil U17 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Brazil U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brazil U17, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Brazil U17 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ecuador U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Brazil U17 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U17 Brazil U17
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 14 27
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.48 2.4
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 South American Championship U17
Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 South American Championship U17
Brazil U17 vs Ecuador U17
3:2
Feb 27, 2025 Friendly International
Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17
1:0
Feb 24, 2025 Friendly International
Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17
1:2
Nov 20, 2023 World Cup U17
Ecuador U17 vs Brazil U17
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Brazil U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Pape
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U17 23 / 100
Brazil U17 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U17 Brazil U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U17 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Ecuador U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Brazil U17 conceded in 51% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U17 VS Brazil U17
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U17

(Home)
19 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 1
Brazil U17
16 Apr
Ecuador U17
1 : 3
Argentina U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 0
Colombia U17
Page 1 of 7

Brazil U17

(Away)
23 Aug
Brazil U17
3 : 0
Venezuela U17
20 Aug
Brazil U17
2 : 1
Venezuela U17
10 Jun
Brazil U17
1 : 0
USA U17
07 Jun
Brazil U17
4 : 0
USA U17
19 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 1
Brazil U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ecuador U17 1
Argentina U17 3
Brazil U17 0
Colombia U17 3
Final
Argentina U17 0
Colombia U17 4
Ecuador U17 0
Brazil U17 1