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Ecuador U17 vs Costa Rica U17

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Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ecuador U17 play Costa Rica U17 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ecuador U17 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. Costa Rica U17 averaged 3.03 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Ecuador U17 won 2, Costa Rica U17 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 23, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Ecuador U17 and 1.19 for Costa Rica U17. This points to a Ecuador U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ecuador U17
18%
Draws
33%
Costa Rica U17
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Ecuador U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ecuador U17 picked up more points recently compared to Costa Rica U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Ecuador U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Costa Rica U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U17 Costa Rica U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 3.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2024 Friendly International
Ecuador U17 vs Costa Rica U17
2:0
Aug 20, 2024 Friendly International
Ecuador U17 vs Costa Rica U17
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U17 48 / 100
Costa Rica U17 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U17 Costa Rica U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ecuador U17 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ecuador U17 attacking → ← attacking Costa Rica U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U17 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Costa Rica U17 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Ecuador U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Costa Rica U17 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 41
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50