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Stadium Background

Ecuador U17 vs Panama U17

World World

World Cup U17 2023 Manahan Stadium, Surakarta
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ruiz E.
Assist: Reyes J.
46'
Sub
Moreno E. In: Aldair M.
Out: Moreno E.
46'
Sub
Reyes J. In: Troya R.
Out: Reyes J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ecuador U17
15%
Draws
48%
Panama U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panama U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Panama U17 come out ahead of Ecuador U17 on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Panama U17 taking it.
  • Panama U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ecuador U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Panama U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U17 Panama U17
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2.1
Goals Conceded 1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2023 World Cup U17
Ecuador U17 vs Panama U17
1:1
Jun 23, 2011 World Cup U17
Panama U17 vs Ecuador U17
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Panama U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U17 18 / 100
Panama U17 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U17 Panama U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panama U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U17 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Panama U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ecuador U17 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U17 VS Panama U17
0.88 Goals Scored 2.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U17

(Home)
19 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 1
Brazil U17
16 Apr
Ecuador U17
1 : 3
Argentina U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
07 Apr
Ecuador U17
2 : 1
Uruguay U17
05 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 0
Colombia U17
Page 1 of 6

Panama U17

(Away)
11 Feb
Panama U17
4 : 1
Nicaragua U17
08 Feb
Anguilla U17
0 : 6
Panama U17
05 Feb
Panama U17
6 : 1
Dominica U17
11 Nov
Uzbekistan U17
6 : 1
Panama U17
08 Nov
Paraguay U17
2 : 1
Panama U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Ecuador U17 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
3 Indonesia U17 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Panama U17 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - World Cup U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Mali U17 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Uzbekistan U17 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Canada U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
2 Brazil U17 3 2 0 1 13:4 6
3 Iran U17 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
4 New Caledonia U17 3 0 0 3 0:24 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U17 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
2 Senegal U17 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Japan U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 Poland U17 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 USA U17 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Burkina Faso U17 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 South Korea U17 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Mexico U17 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
3 Venezuela U17 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 New Zealand U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams