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Ecuador U17 W vs China U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2025 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 2), Salé
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Zhou Xinyi
Assist: Xu Xiaotang
16' Event
Zeng Yijie
31' Event
Chen Ruilin
Assist: Zeng Yijie

AI Match Summary

China U17 W in this World Cup Women U17 2025 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ecuador U17 W
20%
Draws
56%
China U17 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • China U17 W average 2.04 goals a game right now, well clear of Ecuador U17 W's 1.57.
  • China U17 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor China U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Ecuador U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
China U17 W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U17 W China U17 W
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.57 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Ecuador U17 W vs China U17 W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

China U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhou Xinyi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeng Yijie
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U17 W 10 / 100
China U17 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U17 W China U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ecuador U17 W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: China U17 W conceded in 60% of 25 recent games.

Ecuador U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U17 W VS China U17 W
0.88 Goals Scored 3.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U17 W

(Home)
09 May
Chile U17 W
2 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
03 May
Brazil U17 W
4 : 0
Ecuador U17 W
01 May
Ecuador U17 W
0 : 0
Uruguay U17 W
29 Apr
Ecuador U17 W
1 : 1
Peru U17 W
27 Apr
Venezuela U17 W
0 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
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China U17 W

(Away)
14 May
China U17 W
2 : 4
North Korea U17 W
11 May
China U17 W
3 : 0
India U17 W
07 May
China U17 W
6 : 0
Thailand U17 W
04 May
Vietnam U17 W
0 : 3
China U17 W
01 May
China U17 W
6 : 0
Myanmar U17 W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 W 3 3 0 0 10:4 9
2 Brazil U17 W 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
3 Morocco U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Costa Rica U17 W 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U17 W 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Mexico U17 W 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Netherlands U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
4 Cameroon U17 W 3 0 0 3 4:7 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 W 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 China U17 W 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
3 Ecuador U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Norway U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U17 W 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 France U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Nigeria U17 W 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Samoa U17 W 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 W 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Colombia U17 W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 South Korea U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
4 Ivory Coast U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 W 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Paraguay U17 W 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Zambia U17 W 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 New Zealand U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)