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Ecuador U17 W vs Peru U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

South American Championship Women U17 Estadio Ameliano, Villeta
Ecuador U17 W Logo

Ecuador U17 W

1 - 1
FT
Peru U17 W Logo

Peru U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Carabali E.
Own Goal
45'
Rodriguez A.
46'
Sub
Vargas A. In: Ortiz S.
Out: Vargas A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship Women U17 game between Ecuador U17 W and Peru U17 W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ecuador U17 W
30%
Draws
12%
Peru U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ecuador U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Peru U17 W haven't matched Ecuador U17 W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ecuador U17 W a 58% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship Women U17 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ecuador U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Peru U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U17 W Peru U17 W
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 16 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 14 26
Goals Scored 1.69 0.42
Goals Conceded 1.69 3.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 South American Championship Women U17
Ecuador U17 W vs Peru U17 W
1:1
May 21, 2025 South American Championship Women U17
Peru U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
1:4
May 3, 2025 South American Championship Women U17
Peru U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
1:3
Mar 5, 2022 South American Championship Women U17
Peru U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
1:3
Mar 14, 2018 South American Championship Women U17
Ecuador U17 W vs Peru U17 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Guaranda J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Peru U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U17 W 85 / 100
Peru U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U17 W Peru U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru U17 W has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ecuador U17 W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ecuador U17 W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U17 W VS Peru U17 W
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U17 W

(Home)
09 May
Chile U17 W
2 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
03 May
Brazil U17 W
4 : 0
Ecuador U17 W
01 May
Ecuador U17 W
0 : 0
Uruguay U17 W
29 Apr
Ecuador U17 W
1 : 1
Peru U17 W
27 Apr
Venezuela U17 W
0 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
Page 1 of 7

Peru U17 W

(Away)
03 May
Peru U17 W
0 : 3
Venezuela U17 W
01 May
Peru U17 W
0 : 5
Brazil U17 W
29 Apr
Ecuador U17 W
1 : 1
Peru U17 W
25 Apr
Uruguay U17 W
3 : 0
Peru U17 W
24 May
Peru U17 W
0 : 3
Chile U17 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U17 W 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
2 Chile U17 W 4 2 2 0 12:3 8
3 Colombia U17 W 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
4 Paraguay U17 W 4 1 0 3 1:7 3
5 Bolivia U17 W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - South American Championship Women U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship Women U17 (Qualification - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U17 W 4 4 0 0 16:3 12
2 Venezuela U17 W 4 2 0 2 5:3 6
3 Ecuador U17 W 4 1 2 1 2:5 5
4 Uruguay U17 W 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Peru U17 W 4 0 1 3 1:12 1
Promotion - South American Championship Women U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - South American Championship Women U17 (Qualification - Play Offs)