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Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Sandoval K.
30' Event
Villarreal N.
42' Event
Caicedo B.

AI Match Summary

Colombia U20 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colombia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ecuador U20
20%
Draws
56%
Colombia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colombia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombia U20 have won more games recently than Ecuador U20.
  • Model gives Colombia U20 a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colombia U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ecuador U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Colombia U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U20 Colombia U20
Matches Played 26 40
Wins 8 27
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.5 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2025 South American Championship U20
Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20
1:0
Jan 28, 2025 South American Championship U20
Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20
0:0
Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20
1:2
Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Ecuador U20 vs Colombia U20
1:2
Feb 7, 2023 South American Championship U20
Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Colombia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villarreal N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U20 20 / 100
Colombia U20 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U20 Colombia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ecuador U20 scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Colombia U20 conceded in 65% of 40 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Ecuador U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Colombia U20
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U20

(Home)
01 Feb
Ecuador U20
0 : 0
Argentina U20
30 Jan
Ecuador U20
2 : 3
Brazil U20
28 Jan
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Ecuador U20
24 Jan
Bolivia U20
1 : 2
Ecuador U20
20 Dec
Peru U20
2 : 2
Ecuador U20
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Colombia U20

(Away)
28 May
Colombia U20
2 : 1
Costa Rica U20
26 May
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Costa Rica U20
18 Oct
Colombia U20
1 : 0
France U20
15 Oct
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Colombia U20
11 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 3
Colombia U20
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