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Ecuador U23 vs Chile U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games 2020
Ecuador U23 Logo

Ecuador U23

0 - 3
FT
Chile U23 Logo

Chile U23

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Alcivar J.
29'
Alcivar J.
29'
Alcivar J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chile U23 in this Olympic Games 2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chile U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ecuador U23
15%
Draws
48%
Chile U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ecuador U23 haven't matched Chile U23's recent run of results.
  • Ecuador U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Olympic Games 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ecuador U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Chile U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U23 Chile U23
Matches Played 20 27
Wins 5 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.15 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2020 Olympic Games
Ecuador U23 vs Chile U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Chile U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moya C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morales I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U23 59 / 100
Chile U23 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U23 Chile U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ecuador U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ecuador U23 scored in 55% of their last 20 games.

Chile U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U23 VS Chile U23
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U23

(Home)
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
26 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 2
Ecuador U23
23 Jan
Ecuador U23
1 : 1
Venezuela U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
17 Dec
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Ecuador U23
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Chile U23

(Away)
02 Feb
Chile U23
2 : 1
Paraguay U23
30 Jan
Chile U23
0 : 5
Argentina U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
12 Jan
Chile U23
3 : 0
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Colombia U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Venezuela U23 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 Ecuador U23 4 0 0 4 0:9 0
Promotion - Olympic Games 2020 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 4 0 0 11:5 12
2 Uruguay U23 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Bolivia U23 4 2 0 2 8:10 6
4 Paraguay U23 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games 2020 (Final Group)