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Ecuador U23 vs Colombia U23

World World

Olympic Games
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Fory J.
24'
Fory J.
24'
Fory J.

AI Match Summary

The Olympic Games game between Ecuador U23 and Colombia U23 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ecuador U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ecuador U23
15%
Draws
26%
Colombia U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ecuador U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colombia U23 come out ahead of Ecuador U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ecuador U23 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Olympic Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Colombia U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ecuador U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Colombia U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U23 Colombia U23
Matches Played 20 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.15 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2024 Olympic Games
Ecuador U23 vs Colombia U23
3:0
Jan 22, 2020 Olympic Games
Colombia U23 vs Ecuador U23
4:0
Mar 14, 1995 Pan American Games
Ecuador U23 vs Colombia U23
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zambrano C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Colombia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U23 59 / 100
Colombia U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U23 Colombia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Colombia U23 let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Ecuador U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Colombia U23's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U23 VS Colombia U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U23

(Home)
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
26 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 2
Ecuador U23
23 Jan
Ecuador U23
1 : 1
Venezuela U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
17 Dec
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Ecuador U23
Page 1 of 4

Colombia U23

(Away)
01 Feb
Colombia U23
0 : 2
Bolivia U23
29 Jan
Colombia U23
0 : 1
Venezuela U23
26 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 0
Colombia U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
13 Jan
Colombia U23
5 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
2 Venezuela U23 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Ecuador U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
4 Bolivia U23 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Colombia U23 4 0 0 4 0:8 0
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
2 Paraguay U23 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
4 Uruguay U23 4 1 1 2 9:8 4
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)