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Ecuador U23 vs Venezuela U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kelsy K.
Assist: Ortega B.
34'
Mercado P.
34'
Ochoa Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Olympic Games matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ecuador U23
20%
Draws
40%
Venezuela U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Venezuela U23 have won more games recently than Ecuador U23.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ecuador U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Venezuela U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador U23 Venezuela U23
Matches Played 20 24
Wins 5 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.15 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2024 Olympic Games
Ecuador U23 vs Venezuela U23
1:1
Jan 24, 2020 Olympic Games
Venezuela U23 vs Ecuador U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Venezuela U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelsy K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador U23 31 / 100
Venezuela U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador U23 Venezuela U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Venezuela U23 conceded in 75% of 24 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Ecuador U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ecuador U23's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador U23 VS Venezuela U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador U23

(Home)
29 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 1
Ecuador U23
26 Jan
Bolivia U23
0 : 2
Ecuador U23
23 Jan
Ecuador U23
1 : 1
Venezuela U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
17 Dec
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Ecuador U23
Page 1 of 4

Venezuela U23

(Away)
11 Feb
Paraguay U23
2 : 0
Venezuela U23
08 Feb
Venezuela U23
1 : 2
Brazil U23
05 Feb
Argentina U23
2 : 2
Venezuela U23
01 Feb
Venezuela U23
3 : 1
Brazil U23
29 Jan
Colombia U23
0 : 1
Venezuela U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
2 Venezuela U23 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Ecuador U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
4 Bolivia U23 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Colombia U23 4 0 0 4 0:8 0
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
2 Paraguay U23 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
4 Uruguay U23 4 1 1 2 9:8 4
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)