Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia

World World

Friendly International Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, NJ
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Hurtado A.
35' Event
Porozo J.
Assist: Yeboah J.
46'
Sub
Hurtado A. In: Preciado A.
Out: Hurtado A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Ecuador and Saudi Arabia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ecuador.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Ecuador
15%
Draws
71%
Saudi Arabia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saudi Arabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Saudi Arabia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Saudi Arabia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Ecuador Clean Sheet 21%
Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador Saudi Arabia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 13 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Friendly International
Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia
2:1
Sep 23, 2022 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia vs Ecuador
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ecuador Compare

Top Goalscorer Porozo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valencia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Saudi Arabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandash S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador 10 / 100
Saudi Arabia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador Saudi Arabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saudi Arabia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saudi Arabia let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ecuador scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Ecuador has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador VS Saudi Arabia
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador

(Home)
05 Oct
Ecuador
1 : 2
Panama
01 Oct
Japan
1 : 0
Ecuador
24 Sept
South Korea
3 : 0
Ecuador
01 Jul
Mexico
2 : 0
Ecuador
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
Page 1 of 6

Saudi Arabia

(Away)
06 Oct
Saudi Arabia
2 : 0
United Arab Emirates
03 Oct
Saudi Arabia
1 : 0
Qatar
29 Sept
Saudi Arabia
2 : 0
Iraq
26 Sept
Oman
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia
23 Sept
Saudi Arabia
1 : 0
Kuwait
Page 1 of 6