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Ecuador W vs Venezuela W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Olivieri B.
46'
Sub
Flores K. In: Arias E.
Out: Flores K.
46'
Sub
Olivieri B. In: Speckmaier M.
Out: Olivieri B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CONMEBOL Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ecuador W
15%
Draws
48%
Venezuela W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venezuela W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Venezuela W lately — more wins on the board than Ecuador W.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular CONMEBOL Nations League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ecuador W Clean Sheet 10%
Venezuela W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ecuador W Venezuela W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.36 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Ecuador W vs Venezuela W
0:0
Oct 26, 2021 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Venezuela W
1:4
Oct 24, 2021 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Venezuela W
1:4
Apr 5, 2018 Copa América Women
Ecuador W vs Venezuela W
0:1
Sep 13, 2014 Copa América Women
Ecuador W vs Venezuela W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ecuador W 34 / 100
Venezuela W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ecuador W Venezuela W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venezuela W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ecuador W scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Venezuela W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Ecuador W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ecuador W VS Venezuela W
1 Goals Scored 3
1.33 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 88%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ecuador W

(Home)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
10 Apr
Paraguay W
2 : 0
Ecuador W
07 Mar
Ecuador W
1 : 1
Uruguay W
Page 1 of 6

Venezuela W

(Away)
06 Aug
Venezuela W
1 : 2
El Salvador W
04 Aug
Venezuela W
2 : 3
Colombia W
02 Aug
Dominican Republic W
0 : 1
Venezuela W
31 Jul
Venezuela W
2 : 0
El Salvador W
29 Jul
Costa Rica W
0 : 3
Venezuela W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
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