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ECUS SP vs AEA Aracatuba

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
David Lazari
30' Event
Mateusinho
51'
Moreira de Oliveira J. V.

AI Match Summary

ECUS SP in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ECUS SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
ECUS SP
20%
Draws
0%
AEA Aracatuba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ECUS SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ECUS SP lately — more wins on the board than AEA Aracatuba.
  • Model gives ECUS SP a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
ECUS SP Clean Sheet 68%
AEA Aracatuba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ECUS SP AEA Aracatuba
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 0.97 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Paulista A4
ECUS SP vs AEA Aracatuba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ECUS SP Compare

Top Goalscorer David Lazari
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mateusinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AEA Aracatuba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ECUS SP 95 / 100
AEA Aracatuba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ECUS SP AEA Aracatuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ECUS SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ECUS SP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AEA Aracatuba's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

ECUS SP's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AEA Aracatuba has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

ECUS SP VS AEA Aracatuba
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ECUS SP

(Home)
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
Lemense
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0
ECUS SP
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 2
ECUS SP
Page 1 of 6

AEA Aracatuba

(Away)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Penapolense
6 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4
Vocem
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3
Nacional SP
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)