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ECUS SP vs Lemense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
ECUS SP Logo

ECUS SP

2 - 0
FT
Lemense Logo

Lemense

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mateusinho
77' Event
Luiz Felipe
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between ECUS SP and Lemense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ECUS SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
ECUS SP
35%
Draws
10%
Lemense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ECUS SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ECUS SP come out ahead of Lemense on wins alone.
  • Model gives ECUS SP a 55% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
ECUS SP Clean Sheet 68%
Lemense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ECUS SP Lemense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Paulista A4
ECUS SP vs Lemense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ECUS SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateusinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Felipe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Lemense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ECUS SP 95 / 100
Lemense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ECUS SP Lemense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ECU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ECUS SP has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lemense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Lemense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ECUS SP VS Lemense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ECUS SP

(Home)
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
Lemense
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0
ECUS SP
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 2
ECUS SP
Page 1 of 7

Lemense

(Away)
18 Apr
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 0
Lemense
11 Apr
Lemense
0 : 2
Inter de Bebedouro
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
28 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
Lemense
25 Mar
Lemense
0 : 0
Jabaquara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)