Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Edel FC vs Gateway United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL game between Edel FC and Gateway United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Edel FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Edel FC
20%
Draws
22%
Gateway United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Edel FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Edel FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Edel FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular NNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Edel FC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Edel FC Clean Sheet 20%
Gateway United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edel FC Gateway United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 NNL
Gateway United vs Edel FC
0:1
Jan 3, 2026 NNL
Edel FC vs Gateway United
2:0
Jun 22, 2019 NNL
Edel FC vs Gateway United
0:1
May 1, 2019 NNL
Gateway United vs Edel FC
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edel FC 58 / 100
Gateway United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edel FC Gateway United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Edel FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gateway United conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Edel FC scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Edel FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Edel FC VS Gateway United
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Edel FC

(Home)
11 Apr
Sunshine Stars
2 : 1
Edel FC
04 Apr
Edel FC
0 : 0
Heartland FC
25 Mar
Edel FC
2 : 1
Abia Comets
14 Mar
Beyond Limits FC
1 : 1
Edel FC
07 Mar
Edel FC
2 : 1
Crown FC
Page 1 of 6

Gateway United

(Away)
11 Apr
Inter Lagos
1 : 2
Gateway United
04 Apr
Gateway United
1 : 2
Sunshine Stars
28 Mar
Heartland FC
3 : 0
Gateway United
14 Mar
Abia Comets
2 : 1
Gateway United
07 Mar
Gateway United
1 : 2
Beyond Limits FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Lagos 16 8 5 3 26:13 29
2 Beyond Limits FC 16 7 7 2 23:13 28
3 Heartland FC 16 8 3 5 21:17 27
4 Smart City 16 8 3 5 21:19 27
5 Sunshine Stars 16 7 4 5 18:14 25
6 Edel FC 16 6 2 8 14:20 20
7 Crown FC 16 4 4 8 18:19 16
8 Abia Comets 16 4 3 9 16:31 15
9 Gateway United 16 3 3 10 13:24 12
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
2 Akwa United 18 11 2 5 23:13 35
3 Ekiti United 18 10 0 8 21:17 30
4 Stormers 18 8 2 8 24:26 26
5 Abakaliki 18 7 4 7 19:17 25
6 Solution 18 8 1 9 18:22 25
7 Godswill Akpabio 18 6 6 6 27:24 24
8 Rovers FC 18 7 1 10 15:21 22
9 Osun United 18 6 2 10 16:24 20
10 First Bank 18 4 3 11 15:31 15
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 14 8 2 4 18:11 26
2 Lobi 14 7 2 5 12:10 23
3 Basira 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
4 Kada Warriors 14 5 5 4 11:9 20
5 Sokoto United 14 5 3 6 9:11 18
6 ABS 14 5 2 7 10:16 17
7 Mighty Jets 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
8 City FC Abuja 14 4 4 6 10:14 16
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ranchers Bees 12 6 2 4 11:9 20
2 Adamawa Utd 12 6 0 6 12:11 18
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 5 3 4 12:15 18
4 Yobe Stars 12 5 2 5 14:13 17
5 Kebbi 12 5 1 6 11:11 16
6 Bichi First 12 4 3 5 11:9 15
7 Gombe 12 4 3 5 8:11 15
8 Sporting Supreme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)