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Edgewater Castle vs Rochester FC

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Edgewater Castle in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Edgewater Castle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Edgewater Castle
15%
Draws
85%
Rochester FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rochester FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Rochester FC have won more games recently than Edgewater Castle.
  • Rochester FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Edgewater Castle Clean Sheet 10%
Rochester FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edgewater Castle Rochester FC
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 1
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.25 1.28
Goals Conceded 3.75 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 USL League Two
Edgewater Castle vs Rochester FC
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edgewater Castle 10 / 100
Rochester FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edgewater Castle Rochester FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rochester FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rochester FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Edgewater Castle scored in 75% of their last 12 games.

Difficult form: Rochester FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Edgewater Castle VS Rochester FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Edgewater Castle

(Home)
12 Jul
Edgewater Castle
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
05 Jul
St. Croix
7 : 1
Edgewater Castle
27 Jun
Edgewater Castle
0 : 5
Chicago Dutch Lions
25 Jun
Rockford Raptors
3 : 2
Edgewater Castle
20 Jun
Minneapolis City
3 : 1
Edgewater Castle
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Rochester FC

(Away)
09 Jul
Rochester FC
1 : 3
St. Croix
07 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
02 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Chicago Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Rochester FC
0 : 2
Rockford Raptors
17 Jun
Rochester FC
2 : 1
RKC SC
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