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Edgewater Castle vs Sueno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

Sueno in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sueno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Edgewater Castle
15%
Draws
85%
Sueno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sueno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sueno have won more games recently than Edgewater Castle.
  • Win probability leans Sueno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Edgewater Castle Clean Sheet 10%
Sueno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edgewater Castle Sueno
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 2 17
Draws 0 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.25 2.87
Goals Conceded 3.75 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 USL League Two
Edgewater Castle vs Sueno
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edgewater Castle 10 / 100
Sueno 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edgewater Castle Sueno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sueno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sueno has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Edgewater Castle's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Difficult form: Sueno registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Edgewater Castle VS Sueno
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Edgewater Castle

(Home)
12 Jul
Edgewater Castle
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
05 Jul
St. Croix
7 : 1
Edgewater Castle
27 Jun
Edgewater Castle
0 : 5
Chicago Dutch Lions
25 Jun
Rockford Raptors
3 : 2
Edgewater Castle
20 Jun
Minneapolis City
3 : 1
Edgewater Castle
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Sueno

(Away)
17 Jul
Peoria IL
3 : 2
Sueno
11 Jul
Sueno
4 : 1
Chicago Dutch Lions
02 Jul
Sueno
5 : 1
RKC SC
25 Jun
Sueno
3 : 3
River Light
21 Jun
Sueno
3 : 1
St. Croix
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