Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Edinburgh City vs Alloa

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Meadowbank Sports Centre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Edinburgh City play Alloa in the Challenge Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Edinburgh City averaged 1.12 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. Alloa averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Edinburgh City won 1, Alloa won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 11, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Edinburgh City and 1.63 for Alloa. This points to a Alloa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Edinburgh City
20%
Draws
48%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Edinburgh City picked up more points recently compared to Alloa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 14%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edinburgh City Alloa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.12 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Edinburgh City vs Alloa
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 League One
Edinburgh City vs Alloa
2:5
Jan 6, 2024 League One
Alloa vs Edinburgh City
3:1
Nov 18, 2023 League One
Edinburgh City vs Alloa
3:0
Sep 30, 2023 League One
Alloa vs Edinburgh City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edinburgh City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitchell Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rankin L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sammon C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edinburgh City 32 / 100
Alloa 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edinburgh City Alloa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alloa or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Edinburgh City attacking → ← attacking Alloa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Edinburgh City scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

Alloa let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Edinburgh City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alloa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 41
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inverness660026:418
2Stenhousemuir660018:218
3Montrose651018:916
4East Fife641117:913
5Stranraer641112:613
6East Kilbride640213:1112
7Forfar Athletic640210:812
8Edinburgh City640211:1012
9Spartans632114:811
10Elgin City632111:911
11Dumbarton632110:811
12Annan631215:1010
13Alloa631217:1410
14Kelty Hearts63129:610
15Clyde631214:1210
16Queen of the South631212:1010
17Hamilton631213:89
18Stirling63039:99
19Cove Rangers62229:68
20Peterhead622210:108
21Celtic B620412:156
22Hearts B62049:146
23Hibernian B612311:145
24St. Mirren B61149:154
25Dundee Utd B61055:183
26Aberdeen B60159:201
27Motherwell B60152:171
28Rangers B60066:160
29Kilmarnock B60063:190
30Dundee FC B60064:210