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Edinburgh City vs Falkirk

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
MacIver R.
Assist: Tanser S.
12'
Sub
Nesbitt A. In: McGovern P.
Out: Nesbitt A.
13'
Sub
Walker J. In: Allen G.
Out: Walker J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-5. The second leg ended 0-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Edinburgh City
30%
Draws
23%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Edinburgh City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Falkirk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Edinburgh City taking it.
  • Falkirk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Falkirk, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 20%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edinburgh City Falkirk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.37 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup
Edinburgh City vs Falkirk
0:5
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Falkirk vs Edinburgh City
2:3
Mar 23, 2024 League One
Falkirk vs Edinburgh City
4:1
Jan 13, 2024 League One
Edinburgh City vs Falkirk
2:2
Nov 11, 2023 League One
Falkirk vs Edinburgh City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edinburgh City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Falkirk Compare

Top Goalscorer MacIver R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Parkinson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edinburgh City 76 / 100
Falkirk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edinburgh City Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Edinburgh City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Edinburgh City scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Falkirk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Edinburgh City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Edinburgh City VS Falkirk
1.75 Goals Scored 0.86
1 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Edinburgh City

(Home)
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0
Dundee Utd B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3
Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3
Stirling
08 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 1
Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6

Falkirk

(Away)
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams