Sport Picks
Edinburgh City vs Hearts B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Meadowbank Sports Centre, Edinburgh 
Match Events
13'
13'
Mahon R.
Assist: Lawson I.
21'
21'
Mahon R.
Assist: Barrett B.
33'
33'
Lawson I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-2, with Edinburgh City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Edinburgh City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Edinburgh City carry the better recent record into this one.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Edinburgh City taking it.
- Edinburgh City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Hearts B, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 11%
Hearts B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Edinburgh City | Hearts B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 2.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.35 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2025 Challenge Cup
Edinburgh City vs Hearts B
4:2
Aug 17, 2021 Challenge Cup
Edinburgh City vs Hearts B
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Edinburgh City Compare
Top Goalscorer Mahon R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lawson I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.58
Avg xA / game 1.68
Hearts B Compare
Top Goalscorer Mcluckie B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Edinburgh City 83 / 100
Hearts B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Edinburgh City Hearts B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Edinburgh City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Hearts B conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Edinburgh City scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Edinburgh City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Edinburgh City VS Hearts B
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 4.33
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 83%
Recent Form & Match History
Edinburgh City
(Home) 03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0 Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0 Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0 Dundee Utd B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3 Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3 Stirling
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 0 Dundee Utd B
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3 Stirling
08 Sept
Edinburgh City
1 : 1 Queen of the South
28 Aug
Edinburgh City
1 : 1 Forfar Athletic
22 Aug
Edinburgh City
1 : 0 Annan
Page 1 of 3
Hearts B
(Away) 26 Sept
Ross County
14 : 0 Hearts B
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5 Hearts B
08 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 6 Hearts B
25 Aug
Spartans
5 : 0 Hearts B
11 Aug
Berwick
3 : 4 Hearts B
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ross County
14 : 0 Hearts B
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5 Hearts B
08 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 6 Hearts B
25 Aug
Spartans
5 : 0 Hearts B
11 Aug
Berwick
3 : 4 Hearts B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:9 | 16 |
| 4 | East Fife | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Stranraer | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 6 | East Kilbride | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Spartans | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Dumbarton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Annan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Alloa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Kelty Hearts | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 15 | Clyde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Queen of the South | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Hamilton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 9 |
| 18 | Stirling | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 19 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterhead | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Celtic B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 6 |
| 22 | Hearts B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 23 | Hibernian B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 5 |
| 24 | St. Mirren B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 25 | Dundee Utd B | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:18 | 3 |
| 26 | Aberdeen B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
| 27 | Motherwell B | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 0 |
| 29 | Kilmarnock B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:19 | 0 |
| 30 | Dundee FC B | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
