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EDMF Churra vs Lorca FC

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2020/2021 game between EDMF Churra and Lorca FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EDMF Churra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
EDMF Churra
6%
Draws
4%
Lorca FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: EDMF Churra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EDMF Churra come out ahead of Lorca FC on wins alone.
  • EDMF Churra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
EDMF Churra Clean Sheet 68%
Lorca FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EDMF Churra Lorca FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 1
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca FC vs EDMF Churra
0:1
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EDMF Churra vs Lorca FC
2:0
Jan 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca FC vs EDMF Churra
2:2
Aug 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EDMF Churra vs Lorca FC
2:1
Jan 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
EDMF Churra vs Lorca FC
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EDMF Churra 95 / 100
Lorca FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EDMF Churra Lorca FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EDM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorca FC let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: EDMF Churra scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: EDMF Churra remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

EDMF Churra VS Lorca FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%