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Edmonton vs HFX Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Canadian Premier League 2022 Clarke Stadium, Edmonton, AB
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Gonzalez A.
38' Event
Salter S.
(Penalty)
39'
Warschewski T.

AI Match Summary

Edmonton in this Canadian Premier League 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Edmonton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Edmonton
20%
Draws
51%
HFX Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HFX Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HFX Wanderers lately — more wins on the board than Edmonton.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Edmonton Clean Sheet 19%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Edmonton HFX Wanderers
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs HFX Wanderers
3:2
Jul 23, 2022 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Edmonton
1:1
Jun 15, 2022 Canadian Premier League
Edmonton vs HFX Wanderers
1:2
Apr 30, 2022 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Edmonton
3:1
Sep 25, 2021 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Edmonton
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Edmonton Compare

Top Goalscorer Warschewski T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

HFX Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Edmonton 32 / 100
HFX Wanderers 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Edmonton HFX Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFX Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Edmonton's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

HFX Wanderers has conceded goals in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Edmonton remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS HFX Wanderers
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Edmonton

(Home)
08 Oct
Edmonton
3 : 1
Valour
01 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 0
Edmonton
25 Sept
Edmonton
1 : 1
Forge FC
17 Sept
Edmonton
0 : 1
Cavalry
09 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Edmonton
Page 1 of 6

HFX Wanderers

(Away)
03 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 3
HFX Wanderers
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
12 Sept
Supra du Quebec
0 : 2
HFX Wanderers
07 Sept
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Cavalry
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Ottawa 28 13 10 5 36:29 49
2 Forge FC 28 14 5 9 47:25 47
3 Cavalry 28 14 5 9 39:33 47
4 Pacific FC 28 13 7 8 36:33 46
5 Valour 28 10 7 11 36:34 37
6 Inter Toronto 28 9 7 12 31:37 34
7 HFX Wanderers 28 8 5 15 24:38 29
8 Edmonton 28 4 8 16 31:51 20
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