Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eemdijk vs HBC

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025 Sportpark De Vinken, Spakenburg
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Wilderom B.
33' Event
van den Dikkenberg J.
56' Event
de G. N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Eemdijk
15%
Draws
49%
HBC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HBC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Eemdijk have won more games recently than HBC.
  • Win probability leans HBC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 15%
HBC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eemdijk HBC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 1
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.81 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs HBC
2:2
Nov 23, 2024 Derde Divisie
HBC vs Eemdijk
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eemdijk Compare

Top Goalscorer van den Dikkenberg J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

HBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilderom B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de G. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eemdijk 15 / 100
HBC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eemdijk HBC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HBC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eemdijk's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

HBC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Away concern: HBC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eemdijk VS HBC
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Eemdijk

(Home)
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2
Eemdijk
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1
Roosendaal
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 7

HBC

(Away)
07 Jun
HVV Hollandia
2 : 0
HBC
03 Jun
HBC
0 : 1
HVV Hollandia
30 May
Flevo Boys
1 : 1
HBC
27 May
HBC
3 : 1
Flevo Boys
24 May
HBC
0 : 2
Huizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)