Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Eemdijk in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eemdijk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Urk haven't matched Eemdijk's recent run of results.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 10%
Urk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eemdijk | Urk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 2.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Urk
5:3
Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Eemdijk
0:6
Mar 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Eemdijk
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Urk
4:1
Apr 20, 2024 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Urk
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eemdijk 30 / 100
Urk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eemdijk Urk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Urk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Eemdijk's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Urk has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
Eemdijk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Eemdijk VS Urk
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Eemdijk
(Home) 15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 Eemdijk
08 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 1 VV Berkum
01 Aug
Eemdijk
1 : 3 VV DOVO
28 Jul
GVVV
1 : 2 Eemdijk
23 May
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 Eemdijk
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08 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 1 VV Berkum
01 Aug
Eemdijk
1 : 3 VV DOVO
16 May
Eemdijk
2 : 3 DVS '33 Ermelo
25 Apr
Eemdijk
2 : 1 VV DOVO
11 Apr
Eemdijk
5 : 3 Urk
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Urk
(Away) 23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Urk
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
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16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
02 May
Harkemase Boys
2 : 3 Urk
25 Apr
Genemuiden
3 : 0 Urk
11 Apr
Eemdijk
5 : 3 Urk
21 Mar
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Urk
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
