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E.G. El Palmar vs Caravaca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
E.G. El Palmar Logo

E.G. El Palmar

3 - 1
FT
Caravaca Logo

Caravaca

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Bixente K.
57' Event
Escribano A.
70' Event
Fimbres V.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

E.G. El Palmar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored E.G. El Palmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
E.G. El Palmar
30%
Draws
58%
Caravaca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caravaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to E.G. El Palmar lately — more wins on the board than Caravaca.
  • Caravaca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
E.G. El Palmar Clean Sheet 17%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric E.G. El Palmar Caravaca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.8 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Caravaca
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs E.G. El Palmar
1:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs E.G. El Palmar
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Caravaca
1:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Caravaca
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

E.G. El Palmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bixente K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Escribano A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Caravaca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

E.G. El Palmar 10 / 100
Caravaca 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
E.G. El Palmar Caravaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravaca has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

E.G. El Palmar found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: E.G. El Palmar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

E.G. El Palmar VS Caravaca
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

E.G. El Palmar

(Home)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 4
UCAM Murcia B
12 Apr
Mazarron FC
4 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
Page 1 of 6

Caravaca

(Away)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)