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E.G. El Palmar vs Deportivo Maritimo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Dieguito
85'
Ghilmane Z.
85'
Ghilmane Z.

AI Match Summary

E.G. El Palmar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored E.G. El Palmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
E.G. El Palmar
15%
Draws
73%
Deportivo Maritimo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Maritimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Deportivo Maritimo average 0.97 goals a game right now, well clear of E.G. El Palmar's 0.8.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
E.G. El Palmar Clean Sheet 15%
Deportivo Maritimo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric E.G. El Palmar Deportivo Maritimo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Deportivo Maritimo
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs E.G. El Palmar
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Deportivo Maritimo
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs E.G. El Palmar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

E.G. El Palmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieguito
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Deportivo Maritimo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

E.G. El Palmar 31 / 100
Deportivo Maritimo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
E.G. El Palmar Deportivo Maritimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Maritimo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maritimo let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Deportivo Maritimo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

E.G. El Palmar's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

E.G. El Palmar VS Deportivo Maritimo
0.71 Goals Scored 1.25
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

E.G. El Palmar

(Home)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 4
UCAM Murcia B
12 Apr
Mazarron FC
4 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Maritimo

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Yeclano B
1 : 3
Deportivo Maritimo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)