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Egersund vs Hodd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena, Egersund
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Egersund host Hodd in the OBOS-ligaen. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Hodd have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Egersund have conceded 2.07 and scored 1.69. Past meetings favor Egersund slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.81 - 2.19) back Hodd to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Egersund
30%
Draws
31%
Hodd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Egersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Egersund haven't matched Hodd's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Egersund Clean Sheet 10%
Hodd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egersund Hodd
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Hodd vs Egersund
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Hodd
0:0
Jul 30, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Hodd vs Egersund
1:0
Oct 13, 2019 Division 2 - Group 1
Hodd vs Egersund
0:2
Jun 15, 2019 Division 2 - Group 1
Egersund vs Hodd
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egersund 30 / 100
Hodd 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egersund Hodd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hodd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hodd conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Egersund scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Egersund has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Egersund VS Hodd
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Egersund

(Home)
02 Oct
Ranheim
5 : 0
Egersund
20 Sept
Odds BK
5 : 1
Egersund
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
Page 1 of 6

Hodd

(Away)
03 Oct
Hodd
2 : 3
Odds BK
20 Sept
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Hodd
16 Sept
Traeff
0 : 3
Hodd
13 Sept
Hodd
0 : 2
Lyn
05 Sept
Asane
2 : 2
Hodd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)