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Stadium Background

Egersund vs Sandnes Ulf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena, Egersund
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Kapskarmo O.
46'
Sub
Kostadinov K. In: de Lanlay Y.
Out: Kostadinov K.
55' Event
Kapskarmo O.
Assist: Vatne S.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Egersund and Sandnes Ulf finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Egersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Egersund
35%
Draws
32%
Sandnes Ulf
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Egersund's 1.68 goals per match outpaces what Sandnes Ulf have produced (1.55).
  • Win probability leans Sandnes Ulf's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Egersund Clean Sheet 10%
Sandnes Ulf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egersund Sandnes Ulf
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Sandnes Ulf
2:0
May 15, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Egersund
4:2
Feb 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Egersund vs Sandnes Ulf
3:3
Nov 9, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Sandnes Ulf
3:1
Apr 1, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Egersund
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapskarmo O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lynum J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sandnes Ulf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egersund 26 / 100
Sandnes Ulf 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egersund Sandnes Ulf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandnes Ulf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Egersund scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Sandnes Ulf conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Egersund remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Egersund VS Sandnes Ulf
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Egersund

(Home)
02 Oct
Ranheim
5 : 0
Egersund
20 Sept
Odds BK
5 : 1
Egersund
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
Page 1 of 6

Sandnes Ulf

(Away)
03 Oct
Strommen
3 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2
Moss
16 Sept
Arendal
1 : 2
Sandnes Ulf
13 Sept
Stromsgodset
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf
05 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 1
Ranheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)