Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Egypt vs Cape Verde

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Fathy H.
23' Event
Rabia R.
Assist: Sayed A.
45' Event
Marmoush O.
Assist: Mostafa Mohamed

AI Match Summary

Egypt in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Egypt
35%
Draws
28%
Cape Verde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Egypt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Egypt have won more games recently than Cape Verde.
  • Win probability leans Egypt's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Egypt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Egypt, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Egypt Clean Sheet 19%
Cape Verde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egypt Cape Verde
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International
Egypt vs Cape Verde
2:1
Nov 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Cape Verde vs Egypt
1:1
Sep 6, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Egypt vs Cape Verde
3:0
Jan 22, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Cape Verde vs Egypt
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egypt Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabia R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marmoush O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cape Verde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egypt 42 / 100
Cape Verde 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egypt Cape Verde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egypt's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Egypt went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cape Verde has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Egypt VS Cape Verde
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Egypt

(Home)
07 Jul
Argentina
3 : 2
Egypt
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2
Egypt
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
22 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 3
Egypt
15 Jun
Belgium
1 : 1
Egypt
Page 1 of 7

Cape Verde

(Away)
03 Jul
Argentina
3 : 2
Cape Verde
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Uruguay
2 : 2
Cape Verde
15 Jun
Spain
0 : 0
Cape Verde
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Tunisia 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Gambia 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Madagascar 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 6 6 0 0 26:2 18
2 Gabon 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
3 Lesotho 6 1 1 4 2:13 4
4 Central Africa 6 1 0 5 3:14 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Botswana 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Mauritania 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Cape Verde 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Equatorial Guinea 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
3 Togo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
4 Liberia 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Sudan 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
3 Niger 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Ghana 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Ivory Coast 6 4 0 2 12:3 12
3 Sierra Leone 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Chad 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
2 Tanzania 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Guinea 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
4 Ethiopia 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Mozambique 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Guinea Bissau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Eswatini 6 0 2 4 2:13 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Zimbabwe 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Kenya 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
4 Namibia 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
2 Uganda 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Congo 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 South Sudan 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Burkina Faso 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 Burundi 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
4 Malawi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)