Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Cairo International Stadium

Cape Verde

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Egypt play Cape Verde in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Egypt averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Cape Verde averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Egypt won 2, Cape Verde won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 17, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Egypt and 1.31 for Cape Verde. This points to a Egypt double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Egypt

39%

Draws

30%

Cape Verde

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Egypt has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cape Verde.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Africa Cup of Nations 2025 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Egypt Clean Sheet 18%

Cape Verde Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Egypt	Cape Verde
Matches Played	36	30
Wins	21	13
Draws	9	7
Losses	6	10
Goals Scored	1.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International

Egypt vs Cape Verde

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

Nov 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Cape Verde vs Egypt

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Sep 6, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Egypt vs Cape Verde

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Jan 22, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Cape Verde vs Egypt

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egypt Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabia R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marmoush O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Cape Verde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egypt 32 / 100

Cape Verde 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Egypt Cape Verde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egypt scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Cape Verde let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Egypt went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cape Verde lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Egypt VS Cape Verde

1.25 Goals Scored 1.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4