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Egypt vs Jordan

World World

FIFA Arab Cup Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Abu Hasheesh M.
39'
Mohamed G.
41' Event
Shararh
Assist: Ersan A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Egypt
20%
Draws
0%
Jordan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Egypt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Egypt carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Egypt a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Egypt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jordan, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Jordan here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Egypt Clean Sheet 68%
Jordan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Egypt Jordan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Egypt vs Jordan
0:3
Dec 11, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup
Egypt vs Jordan
3:1
Jan 27, 2016 Friendly International
Egypt vs Jordan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Egypt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Jordan Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Hasheesh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shararh
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Egypt 95 / 100
Jordan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Egypt Jordan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egypt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Jordan registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Egypt scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Jordan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Egypt VS Jordan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.57
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Egypt

(Home)
07 Jul
Argentina
3 : 2
Egypt
03 Jul
Australia
1 : 2
Egypt
27 Jun
Egypt
1 : 1
Iran
22 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 3
Egypt
15 Jun
Belgium
1 : 1
Egypt
Page 1 of 6

Jordan

(Away)
28 Jun
Jordan
1 : 3
Argentina
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Austria
3 : 1
Jordan
07 Jun
Colombia
2 : 0
Jordan
31 May
Switzerland
4 : 1
Jordan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
2 Syria 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Saudi Arabia 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Oman 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Comoros 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 United Arab Emirates 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Egypt 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
4 Kuwait 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Iraq 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Bahrain 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Sudan 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs)