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Ehime vs Giravanz Kitakyushu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
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Match Events

7' Event
Tamura S.
Assist: Hino S.
13' Event
Kamimura S.
20' Event
Narasaka T.
Assist: Hiramatsu S.

AI Match Summary

Ehime in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ehime.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ehime
20%
Draws
40%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ehime have won more games recently than Giravanz Kitakyushu.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ehime Clean Sheet 17%
Giravanz Kitakyushu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ehime Giravanz Kitakyushu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.66 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 J3 League
Ehime vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
4:2
Oct 15, 2023 J3 League
Ehime vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:0
Jun 3, 2023 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Ehime
0:1
Oct 16, 2022 J3 League
Ehime vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
1:1
Apr 17, 2022 J3 League
Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Ehime
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ehime Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamura S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamimura S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Giravanz Kitakyushu Compare

Top Goalscorer Narasaka T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Takahashi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ehime 30 / 100
Giravanz Kitakyushu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ehime Giravanz Kitakyushu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ehime Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ehime found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Giravanz Kitakyushu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ehime went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ehime VS Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ehime

(Home)
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
29 Sept
Ehime
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1
Ehime
19 Sept
Ehime
2 : 1
Kamatamare Sanuki
14 Sept
FC Osaka
2 : 1
Ehime
Page 1 of 6

Giravanz Kitakyushu

(Away)
03 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 0
Kochi United
29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1
Kagoshima United
20 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
12 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
2 : 4
Gainare Tottori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
4 Nara Club 9 5 2 2 19:16 17
5 FC Osaka 9 4 4 1 17:8 16
6 SC Sagamihara 9 4 3 2 15:10 15
7 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
8 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
9 Kanazawa 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
12 Nagano Parceiro 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 Ryukyu 9 3 2 4 10:12 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 9 2 4 3 12:16 10
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
17 Fukushima United 9 2 1 6 18:23 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 9 2 0 7 8:18 6
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 9 1 2 6 10:17 5
20 Kochi United 9 1 2 6 3:20 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)