Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ehime vs Kumamoto

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Hosoya K. In: Yamahara K.
Out: Hosoya K.
48'
Ri T.
57' Event
Saito R.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ehime
20%
Draws
38%
Kumamoto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ehime

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ehime come out ahead of Kumamoto on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ehime's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Ehime have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kumamoto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ehime Clean Sheet 19%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ehime Kumamoto
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 1 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ehime vs Kumamoto
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 J2 League
Ehime vs Kumamoto
1:1
May 11, 2025 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Ehime
2:2
Jun 29, 2024 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Ehime
4:0
Mar 10, 2024 J2 League
Ehime vs Kumamoto
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ehime Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kumamoto Compare

Top Goalscorer Katori Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ehime 42 / 100
Kumamoto 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ehime Kumamoto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ehime scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Kumamoto has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Ehime stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ehime VS Kumamoto
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ehime

(Home)
19 Sept
Ehime
2 : 1
Kamatamare Sanuki
14 Sept
FC Osaka
2 : 1
Ehime
05 Sept
Ehime
4 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
02 Sept
Ehime
1 : 0
Blaublitz
30 Aug
Kanazawa
0 : 1
Ehime
Page 1 of 6

Kumamoto

(Away)
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2
Kumamoto
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2
Nara Club
02 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 0
Oita Trinita
30 Aug
Kochi United
0 : 2
Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Blaublitz 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
Gifu 1
Kanazawa 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Tochigi SC 0
Nagano Parceiro 1
Tokushima 3
Sagan Tosu 1
Shonan Bellmare 1
Iwaki 2
Yokohama FC 2
Omiya Ardija 1
Kochi United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 3
Montedio Yamagata 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 2
Nara Club 4
Oita Trinita 3
SC Sagamihara 4
Fujieda MYFC 3
Ehime 0
Kumamoto 1
Vanraure 0
Fukushima United 1
Imabari 1
Ryukyu 2
Tochigi City 4
Iwata 3
FC Osaka 0
Reilac Shiga 1
Final
Blaublitz 0
Kagoshima United 2
Gifu 1
Gainare Tottori 2
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Nagano Parceiro 1
Tokushima 2
Iwaki 0
Yokohama FC 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 0
Nara Club 2
SC Sagamihara 3
Kumamoto 0
Fukushima United 2
Ryukyu 1
Tochigi City 3
Reilac Shiga 1