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Ehime vs Nara Club Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J3 League Ningineer Stadium, Matsuyama
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Tamura S.
39' Event
Sugiyama K.
45' Event
Mochizuki S.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Ehime and Nara Club finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ehime.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ehime
20%
Draws
47%
Nara Club
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nara Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ehime come out ahead of Nara Club on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nara Club a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ehime have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ehime Clean Sheet 11%
Nara Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ehime Nara Club
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.6 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 J3 League
Ehime vs Nara Club
4:1
Apr 12, 2026 J2/J3 League
Ehime vs Nara Club
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 J2/J3 League
Nara Club vs Ehime
2:3
Oct 28, 2023 J3 League
Nara Club vs Ehime
0:3
Jun 17, 2023 J3 League
Ehime vs Nara Club
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ehime Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamura S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sugiyama K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Nara Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Morimoto H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ehime 27 / 100
Nara Club 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ehime Nara Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nara Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nara Club has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Ehime's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Ehime remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ehime VS Nara Club
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ehime

(Home)
29 Sept
Ehime
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
26 Sept
Ryukyu
1 : 1
Ehime
19 Sept
Ehime
2 : 1
Kamatamare Sanuki
14 Sept
FC Osaka
2 : 1
Ehime
05 Sept
Ehime
4 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
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Nara Club

(Away)
26 Sept
Nara Club
4 : 1
Reilac Shiga
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Nara Club
12 Sept
Nara Club
2 : 1
Gifu
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2
Nara Club
02 Sept
Nara Club
1 : 2
Sagan Tosu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 8 6 2 0 16:8 20
2 Ehime 8 5 2 1 19:9 17
3 FC Osaka 8 4 4 0 17:7 16
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
5 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
6 Nara Club 8 4 2 2 18:16 14
7 Gifu 8 4 1 3 19:8 13
8 Reilac Shiga 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
9 SC Sagamihara 8 3 3 2 14:10 12
10 Ryukyu 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
11 Nagano Parceiro 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
12 Kanazawa 8 3 1 4 14:13 10
13 Gainare Tottori 8 3 1 4 11:18 10
14 Tochigi SC 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
15 Matsumoto Yamaga 8 1 5 2 8:10 8
16 Fukushima United 8 2 1 5 16:20 7
17 Giravanz Kitakyushu 8 1 4 3 10:16 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 8 2 0 6 7:15 6
19 Kochi United 8 1 2 5 3:18 5
20 Kamatamare Sanuki 8 1 1 6 10:17 4
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)